'People will forgive you for being wrong, but they will never forgive you for being right - especially if events prove you right while proving them wrong.' Thomas Sowell
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Saturday, 22 June 2024
The hounding of Arundhati Roy shows there’s still no room for dissent in India
Some thought the BJP’s reduced majority after recent elections would humble it. Tell that to the Booker prize-winning author
This month, the highest ranking bureaucrat of the state of Delhi, Vinai Kumar Saxena, gave his permission for the Delhi police to prosecute Arundhati Roy and Sheikh Showkat Hussain for remarks they made at a public event 14 years ago. The opposition Aam Aadmi party governs Delhi, but the capital’s police reports to the central government’s home ministry. While the prime minister, Narendra Modi, lost his parliamentary majority in the recently concluded elections, the prosecution of Roy shows that those who expected a chastened government willing to operate differently are likely to be disappointed.
Hussain and Roy are to be tried for making speeches at a conference called Azadi [Urdu for “freedom”]: The Only Way, which questioned Indian rule in the then state of Jammu and Kashmir. Hussain is a Kashmiri academic, author and human rights activist. Roy is among India’s most celebrated authors, with a wide following around the world.
After Roy won the Booker prize in 1997, for The God of Small Things, she became the nation’s darling. It was the year of India, in a sense: the 50th anniversary of India’s independence, and the year Salman Rushdie, the first Indian-born winner of the Booker, published a volume anthologising new Indian literature. Roy was a fresh voice from the still young, post-independence India, reminding us of the multitude of stories from the subcontinent not yet told. She became an idol to be followed and imitated. Indeed, in Mira Nair’s 2001 film Monsoon Wedding, a character who wants to pursue creative writing at an American university is told by an uncle: “Lots of money in writing these days. That girl who won the Booker prize became an overnight millionaire.”
But many of those uncles – powerful and privileged – are no longer happy with Roy. When Saxena announced that Roy could be prosecuted under India’s draconian Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act (UAPA), because she had said at this event that Kashmir had never been an “integral” part of India, there was outrage abroad from intellectuals and writers’ organisations, but responses in India were less spirited. While politicians such as Mahua Moitra of the Trinamool Congress were prompt in criticising the move, others on social media commended the government and gleefully admonished those who defended Roy. Their reasoning: Roy was “anti-national”, unpatriotic, sympathising with terrorists, and needed to face the full force of the law.
The UAPA is a draconian law – being granted bail is extremely difficult, and the accused can be taken into custody before the trial even begins. And the proceedings may not begin for years, as has happened to several leading dissidents during the Modi years. But its use against Roy in this case is puzzling. Lawyers have pointed out procedural gaps: it is not known if the Delhi police has filed a formal report, known as “charge sheet”, after conducting investigations, which is necessary before prosecution can begin. India’s highest court requires the authorities to explain why they wish to use the UAPA, and Saxena’s order offers no explanation. Nor does a 14 June note published on social media that carries his signature. Under UAPA, central government approval is necessary before prosecution can begin, and the authority can grant such permission only after there has been an independent review of evidence gathered. It is not known publicly if any of those steps have been taken, raising profound questions about the legality of the approval itself. Some lawyers believe that the government may have invoked the UAPA to sidestep the legal bar of the statute of limitations.
Despite this travesty, if Roy is not getting an outpouring of public sympathy, it has to do with how India has changed in the past quarter of a century. Its elite are keen to shed the past image of a poor, struggling country. India deserves a seat at the main table, they say; and dissidents and writers who question Indian policies are inconvenient do-gooders whose pessimism interferes with India’s ascent. On significant issues on which much of India’s majoritarian, powerful elite believes there is consensus, Roy is the naysayer.
Consider Roy’s views on Kashmir, the disputed territory over which India and Pakistan have gone to at least three wars, and where Pakistan-supported insurgents have sought independence. The Indian army has stationed tens of thousands of troops there, and human rights groups have accused the Indian state and extremist groups of abuses. Roy has listened to Kashmiri voices and challenged India’s human rights record for more than a decade. She has persistently opposed India’s governing consensus and conduct in Kashmir – her last novel, The Ministry of Utmost Happiness – describes the Kashmir crisis graphically. Triumphalist Indians don’t like to hear such criticism.
Nor do many Indians like her questioning the wisdom of building large dams to produce electricity or irrigate farms. Building dams was the dream of India’s first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru; he called dams “temples of modern India”. The dams helped farms and generated power, and well-meaning development experts questioned Roy’s stance. But Roy showed how they also displaced hundreds of thousands of people. The dispossessed saw the mandatory land acquisitions as a land grab by the powerful.
Roy has also written critically of Gandhi’s views on the “untouchable” caste Dalits, calling them discriminatory and patronising, and has been a vocal critic of India’s nuclear tests and arsenal. These views offend India’s conservative and liberal opinion. India’s peaceniks admire Gandhi; India’s Hindu nationalists hate Gandhi but love the bomb. The fact that she wins accolades abroad, and prominent western publications give her space to write, rattles and rankles them even more. The powerful in India want to hear only praise; Roy keeps reminding the world of the rot within.
Whether or not Roy gets prosecuted remains to be seen; prosecuting authorities may feel the evidence isn’t enough, or much time has passed, and her lawyers may succeed with their procedural objections. The government too may prefer the ambiguity, hoping that the threat of prosecution might keep her, and other dissidents, silent.
But one thing is certain: it was wrong to assume that Modi has changed. Pursuing someone as high-profile as Roy is the government’s way of warning critics that they must not expect anything different. The sword hangs over the critics; Roy reminds us why the pen must remain mightier than the sword.
Wednesday, 8 May 2024
Wednesday, 17 April 2024
Saturday, 2 December 2023
Friday, 13 October 2023
Sunday, 17 September 2023
Saturday, 19 August 2023
Friday, 11 August 2023
Economics for Dummies 2: Unveiling the Illusions Behind GDP and Growth
ChatGPT
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the bedrock of economic assessment, is often brandished by governments to demonstrate their economic prowess and development efforts. Yet, the story beneath the numbers can be more intricate than the narrative presented. This essay delves into the nuances of GDP growth and per capita GDP, exposing the potential deception in government claims, and offers real-world examples to elucidate the distinction between statistical expansion and genuine prosperity.
The GDP Mirage: Governments frequently tout increases in total GDP as evidence of economic advancement, but this can mask underlying issues. GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders, making it an essential indicator of a nation's economic health. However, focusing solely on GDP growth without scrutinizing its composition and distribution can lead to a deceptive portrayal of economic well-being.
Example 1: Industrialization Consider a developing nation that prioritizes industrial expansion, leading to a surge in manufacturing output. While this may boost total GDP, it might neglect crucial sectors like healthcare, education, and social welfare. The GDP increase might not translate to improved living standards or reduced inequality, as wealth could be concentrated in a few hands.
Example 2: Environmental Impact Another scenario involves unchecked natural resource extraction, which may inflate GDP due to increased production. However, this comes at the cost of environmental degradation and resource depletion, potentially compromising long-term sustainability and quality of life.
The Per Capita GDP Illusion: Per capita GDP, calculated by dividing the total GDP by the population, is often used to gauge average economic well-being. Governments may herald rising per capita GDP as a sign of improved living standards, yet this figure can be misleading without considering factors like income distribution, inflation, and social services.
Example 1: Uneven Distribution A country experiencing a surge in per capita GDP might conceal stark inequality. A significant portion of the population could still struggle with poverty and lack access to basic amenities, despite the statistical average suggesting overall prosperity.
Example 2: Inflation Impact Rapid inflation can erode the purchasing power of individuals, even if per capita GDP appears to be rising. A higher per capita GDP might not equate to increased real income if the cost of living rises at a faster pace.
Deconstructing Government Claims: Governments may emphasize GDP growth and per capita GDP to showcase economic progress and attract investments. However, these claims warrant careful analysis. An increase in GDP or per capita GDP does not guarantee equitable development or improved well-being for all citizens.
Example 1: Economic Growth vs. Welfare A nation boasting impressive GDP growth may mask disparities in social indicators. While the economy expands, certain segments of the population might still lack access to quality education, healthcare, and basic infrastructure.
Example 2: Dependency on External Factors Governments may celebrate GDP growth driven by foreign investments or a temporary boost in commodity prices. This growth might prove fleeting, leaving the economy vulnerable to external shocks.
GDP growth and per capita GDP, while important metrics, should be scrutinized with a discerning eye. Government claims of economic success should be analyzed in conjunction with broader socio-economic indicators, income distribution, and the sustainability of growth. True progress lies not merely in the expansion of figures but in the improvement of the lives of all citizens, ensuring that economic growth translates into inclusive prosperity and well-being.
---Another Essay
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) serves as a crucial indicator of a nation's economic health, measuring the total value of goods and services produced within its borders. Governments often boast about their achievements in increasing GDP, both in total and per capita terms. However, a closer examination reveals a more intricate reality. This essay delves into the nuances of GDP growth claims, exposes the potential deception in government narratives, and provides real-world examples to illuminate the distinction between GDP figures and actual economic well-being.
The Mirage of GDP Growth: When governments proudly proclaim substantial GDP growth, it does not necessarily imply a proportional improvement in the economic welfare of its citizens. GDP figures, while informative, need to be carefully scrutinized to understand their implications on the ground. A mere increase in GDP does not guarantee better living standards or increased prosperity for everyone.
Unraveling the Facade: To grasp the intricacies, let's consider the hypothetical case of Country A, where the government touts a 5% increase in total GDP over a year. However, beneath the surface, this growth could be driven by specific sectors or industries, benefiting only a small portion of the population. The per capita GDP may remain stagnant or even decrease, indicating that the average individual's economic situation has not improved.
Example 1: The Resource Boom: Country B is heavily reliant on natural resource exports. A surge in global demand for these resources leads to a significant boost in total GDP. The government proudly announces a 7% increase in GDP growth. However, this growth is skewed towards resource extraction, while other sectors like manufacturing or services remain stagnant. The average citizen might not experience tangible benefits, as job opportunities and wage growth in the resource sector do not automatically translate into improved living standards for all.
Example 2: Income Inequality: In Country C, a booming technology sector drives up GDP by 8%. The government showcases this as a remarkable achievement, highlighting the nation's competitiveness. Yet, this growth predominantly benefits high-skilled workers and shareholders of tech companies, exacerbating income inequality. The average worker's wages remain stagnant, and essential services like healthcare and education become more unaffordable for many citizens.
Deconstructing Government Claims: Governments often use GDP growth as a metric to showcase their economic management and policy success. However, this can lead to misconceptions among the public. People might assume that a higher GDP directly translates to an improved quality of life for everyone, which is not always the case. In both examples, while total GDP increased, the overall well-being of citizens did not experience a parallel enhancement.
Distinguishing between government claims of GDP growth and its actual impact on citizens' lives is essential for understanding the true state of an economy. A focus solely on higher GDP figures can mask disparities in income distribution, employment opportunities, and overall quality of life. Citizens should critically analyze the economic landscape and recognize that true prosperity stems from equitable growth that benefits all segments of society. By doing so, individuals can make informed decisions, advocate for inclusive policies, and contribute to shaping a more balanced and just economic future.
---Another essay
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) serves as a barometer of a nation's economic health, but its interpretation can be far from straightforward. Governments often celebrate increases in total GDP and per capita GDP as signs of prosperity and progress. However, a closer examination reveals a more nuanced reality. This essay delves into the intricacies of GDP growth claims, exposes the potential deception behind these figures, and illustrates the difference between economic growth on paper and its real-world implications.
GDP Growth Claims: The Mirage: Governments frequently trumpet their success in achieving high GDP growth rates, portraying them as indicators of robust economic advancement. However, an important distinction must be made between the growth in GDP and the actual well-being of the populace. Just as a tall tree does not guarantee a bountiful harvest, impressive GDP growth figures may not always translate into improved living standards for citizens.
Understanding GDP Growth: To elucidate this point, let's consider a hypothetical scenario involving two countries: Country A and Country B. Both countries experienced a 5% increase in GDP over a year.
Country A's GDP: Year 1 GDP = $1 trillion Year 2 GDP = $1.05 trillion GDP growth = ($1.05 trillion - $1 trillion) / $1 trillion * 100% = 5%
Country B's GDP: Year 1 GDP = $100 billion Year 2 GDP = $105 billion GDP growth = ($105 billion - $100 billion) / $100 billion * 100% = 5%
While both countries achieved the same GDP growth rate, the absolute size of their economies differs significantly. Country A's economy is ten times larger than that of Country B, yet the GDP growth percentage is identical. This example illustrates how GDP growth rates alone can be deceptive, as they do not account for the disparities in economic scale.
Per Capita GDP: The Illusion of Prosperity: Governments often boast about increasing per capita GDP, emphasizing higher income levels for citizens. However, per capita GDP can mask inequalities and fail to capture the distribution of wealth within a country.
Consider two cities within the same country: City X and City Y.
City X: Population = 1 million GDP = $500 million Per Capita GDP = $500 million / 1 million = $500
City Y: Population = 100,000 GDP = $150 million Per Capita GDP = $150 million / 100,000 = $1,500
While City Y boasts a higher per capita GDP, indicating greater prosperity on the surface, it may still harbor pockets of poverty and income inequality that the average figure fails to capture.
Real-World Examples:
China's Economic Growth: China's remarkable GDP growth over the past few decades has been celebrated globally. However, this growth has come at the cost of environmental degradation and widening income inequality, challenging the notion of unqualified success.
Middle East Oil Economies: Countries heavily reliant on oil exports may experience significant GDP growth during periods of high oil prices. However, this growth can be unsustainable and vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil markets.
Governments' emphasis on GDP growth and per capita GDP as measures of success can be misleading without considering the broader context. While these figures offer insights into economic activity, they do not necessarily reflect the well-being and quality of life of citizens. The real impact of economic growth lies in its ability to translate into tangible benefits for the entire population, addressing inequalities, providing meaningful employment, and ensuring sustainable development. As informed citizens, it is crucial to look beyond the surface numbers and critically assess the true implications of government claims on economic growth.
Tuesday, 25 July 2023
A Level Economics: Practice Questions on Economic Development
MCQs
Economic development refers to the sustained, long-term process of improving various aspects of an economy to enhance the standard of living, welfare, and overall well-being of the people within a country. What is one of the key factors involved in economic development?
- a) Increasing poverty and inequality b) Reducing the production of goods and services c) Improving access to education and healthcare d) Decreasing GDP growth
Solution: c) Improving access to education and healthcare
- Which of the following best describes national income? a) The total income earned by a country's residents from their economic activities abroad. b) The total income earned by all individuals and businesses within a country during a specific period. c) The income earned by foreign residents working within a country. d) The income earned by the government from taxes.
Solution: b) The total income earned by all individuals and businesses within a country during a specific period.
- Economic development goes beyond mere economic growth (increases in national income) and encompasses broader social and human development goals. Which of the following is NOT one of the interconnected factors involved in economic development? a) Growth of GDP b) Human Development c) Infrastructure and Technology d) Increasing poverty and inequality
Solution: d) Increasing poverty and inequality
- What is the main difference between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross National Product (GNP)? a) GDP includes foreign income earned by a country's residents, while GNP does not. b) GNP includes foreign income earned by a country's residents, while GDP does not. c) GDP focuses on economic activities within the country's borders, while GNP includes income earned by foreign residents within the country's borders. d) There is no difference between GDP and GNP; they are synonymous.
Solution: b) GNP includes foreign income earned by a country's residents, while GDP does not.
- Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is a concept used in economics to compare the relative purchasing power of different countries' currencies. What does PPP take into account when making these comparisons? a) Exchange rates only b) The cost of living and price levels in each country c) Nominal GDP d) The level of government intervention in the economy
Solution: b) The cost of living and price levels in each country
- What does the Human Development Index (HDI) consider to measure development more comprehensively? a) GDP growth rate b) Life expectancy, education, and per capita income c) Access to natural resources d) Total national income
Solution: b) Life expectancy, education, and per capita income
- While changes in national income (measured by GDP) are important indicators of economic performance, they have limitations in capturing the overall level of development in a country. What is one of the limitations of GDP? a) It doesn't consider human development factors like education and healthcare. b) It reflects the overall well-being of the population accurately. c) It includes income earned by the country's residents from their economic activities abroad. d) It accounts for non-market activities like household work or volunteering.
Solution: a) It doesn't consider human development factors like education and healthcare.
- Which of the following is NOT a challenge faced by Less Economically Developed Countries (LEDCs) in their economic development? a) Limited access to technology and capital b) Inadequate infrastructure c) Low population growth d) High levels of public sector debt in comparison to More Economically Developed Countries (MEDCs)
Solution: c) Low population growth
- What approach involves reducing government intervention in the economy and promoting free markets to enhance economic development? a) International aid and debt relief b) Government intervention and industrial policies c) Liberalization and free-market reforms d) None of the above
Solution: c) Liberalization and free-market reforms
- The Human Development Index (HDI) is one of the measures used to assess a country's development. Which of the following factors does the HDI take into account? a) GDP per capita and income distribution b) Life expectancy, education, and per capita income c) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross National Product (GNP) d) Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and exchange rates
Solution: b) Life expectancy, education, and per capita income
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Long Answer Questions
What are the differences between economic growth and economic development, and why is the latter considered a more comprehensive measure of a country's progress?
How does increasing GDP contribute to economic development, and what challenges exist in achieving sustainable growth and social inclusivity?
How can we address GDP's limitations in capturing income distribution, non-market activities, and overall population well-being when evaluating national income as a development indicator?
Does the Human Development Index (HDI) complement GDP as a measure of development; what dimensions does it consider for a more comprehensive evaluation?
What are the implications of using Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) adjustments when comparing economic indicators between countries, and how does it aid in understanding relative purchasing power and living standards across different economies?