By Justice Rajindar Sachar (retd)
17 December, 2011
The Tribune, India
The Tribune, India
Govt’s claim is questionable
If the combined
Opposition had sat down for weeks to find an issue to embarrass the UPA
government and make it a laughing stock before the whole country, they
could not have thought of a better issue than the free gift presented to
it initially by the government by insisting that it had decided
irrevocably to allow the entry of multi-brand retail super stores like
Walmart and then within a few days, with a whimper, withdrawing the
proposal.
As it is, even initially this decision defied logic
in view of the Punjab and UP elections and known strong views against it
of the BJP and the Left. Many states had all the time opposed the entry
of Walmart which would affect the lives of millions in the country.
Retail business in India is estimated to be of the
order of $ 400 billion, but the share of the corporate sector is only 5
per cent. There are 50 million retailers in India, including hawkers and
pavement sellers. This comes to one retailer serving eight Indians. In
China, it is one for 100 Chinese. Food is 63 per cent of the retail
trade, according to information given by FICCI.
The claim by the government that Walmart intrusion
will not result in the closure of small retailers is a deliberate
mis-statement. A study done by IOWA State University, US, has shown that
in the first decade after Walmart arrived in IOWA the state lost 555
grocery stores, 298 hardware stores, 293 building supply stores, 161
variety stores, 158 women apparels stores and 153 shoe stores, 116 drug
stores and 111 men and boys apparels stores. Why would it be different
in India with a lesser capacity for resilience by small traders.
The fact is that during 15 years of Walmart entering
the market, 31 super market chains sought bankruptcy. Of the 1.6
million employees of Walmart, only 1.2 per cent make a living above the
poverty level. The Bureau of Labour Statistics, US, is on record with
its conclusion that Walmart’s prices are not lower.
In Thailand, supermarkets led to a 14 per cent
reduction in the share of ‘mom and pop’ stores within four years of FDI
permission. In India, 33-60 per cent of the traditional fruit and
vegetable retailers reported a 15-30 per cent decline in footfalls, a
10-30 per cent fall in sales and a 20-30 per cent decline in incomes
across Bangalore, Ahmedabad and Chandigarh, the largest impact being in
Bangalore, which is one of the most supermarket-penetrated cities in
India.
The average size of the Walmart stores in the US is
about 10,800 sq feet employing only 225 people. In that view, is not the
government’s claim of an increase in employment unbelievable? The
government’s attempt is to soften the blow by emphasising that Walmart
is being allowed only 51 per cent in investment up to $100 million.
Prima facie, the argument may seem attractive. But is the Walmart
management so stupid that when its present turnover of retail is $ 400
billion it would settle for such a small gain? No, obviously, Walmart is
proceeding on the maxim of the camel being allowed to put its head
inside a tent and the occupant finding thereafter that he is being
driven out of it by the camel occupying the whole of the tent space. One
may substitute Walmart for the camel to understand the danger to our
millions of retailers.
The tongue-in-cheek argument by the government that
allowing Walmart to set up its business in India would lead to a fall in
prices and an increase in employment is unproven. A 2004 report of a
committee of the US House of Representatives concluded that “Walmart’s
success has meant downward pressures on wages and benefits, rampant
violations of basic workers’ rights and threats to the standard of
living in communities across the country.” By what logic does the
government say that in India the effect will be the opposite? The only
explanation could be that it is a deliberate mis-statement to help
multinationals.
Similar anti-consumer effects have happened by the working of another supermarket enterprise, Tesco of Britain.
A study carried out by Sunday Times shows that Tesco
has almost total control of the food market of 108 of Britain’s coastal
areas — 7.4 per cent of the country. The super stores like Walmart and
Tesco have a compulsion to move out of England and the US because their
markets are saturated. These companies are looking for countries with a
larger population and low supermarket presence, according to David
Hogues, Professor of Agri-Business at the Centre for Food Chain Research
at Imperial College, London. They have got nowhere else to go and their
home markets are already full. Similarly, a professor of Michigan State
University has pointed out that retail revolution causes serious risks
for developing country farmers who traditionally supply to the local
street market.
In Thailand, Tesco controls more than half the Thai
market. Though Tesco, when it moved into Thailand, promised to employ
local people but it is openly being accused of indulging in unfair
trading practices. The claim that these supermarket dealers will buy
local products is belied because in a case filed against Tesco in July
2002 the court found it charging slotting fees to carry manufacturers’
products, charging entry fee of suppliers. In Bangkok, grocery stores’
sales declined by more than half since Tesco opened a store only four
years ago.
In Malaysia, seeing the damage done by Tesco since
January 2004, a freeze on the building of any new supermarket was
imposed in three major cities and this when Tesco had only gone to
Malaysia in 2002.
It is worth noting that 92 per cent of everything
Walmart sells comes from Chinese-owned companies. The Indian market is
already flooded with Chinese goods which are capturing the market with
cheap offers, and traders are already crying foul because of the
deplorable labour practices adopted by China. Can, in all fairness, the
Indian government still persist in keeping the retail market open to
foreign enterprises and thus endangering the earnings and occupations of
millions of our countrymen and women?
The writer is a former Chief Justice of the High Court of Delhi
India facing trade 'disaster'
ReplyDeleteBy Isolda Agazzi in Asia Times Online
GENEVA - As the Eighth Ministerial meeting of the World Trade Organization (WTO) kicked off in Geneva last week, a group of non-government organizations exposed the devastating potential of a free trade agreement currently being negotiated between the European Union and India. If passed, they say the deal would make a mockery of all WTO rules and regulations.
A recent impact assessment on the right to food of the EU-India FTA, researched and compiled by leading advocacy groups including the Delhi-based Third World Network (TWN), the Indian non-governmental organization (NGO) Anthra and Germany charities Misereor, Glopolis and the Heinrich Boll Foundation, concluded that the proposed deal would violate the right to food of a vast segment of the Indian population, particularly those who rely on the poultry and dairy sectors.
Additionally, the zero-tariffs clause of the free trade agreement (FTA) could lacerate the retail sector by stripping small retailers of any protection against corporate giants.
Having sat on the table since 2007, the agreement could be sealed as early as next year, an outcome that many experts see as "disastrous" for the local economy.
"The EU is asking India to cut its tariffs to zero on at least 92% of all imports, including industrial and agricultural goods," Ranja Sengupta, senior researcher at TWN told Inter Press Service (IPS). "Considering that trade with EU represents 60% of India's total international trade, this would be a disaster, particularly in hitherto protected sectors, like agriculture."
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/ML20Df02.html